Investors marked down Empire (EMP.A) shares after an earnings call in December. INK Research explains why that may offer a tempting sale price for contrarian investors.
Michael Kantrowitz, chief investment strategist at Cornerstone Macro, returns to Real Vision to articulate his stock market outlook for 2020. Noting ultra-low interest rates, narrow credit spreads, and a record-low level of cyclicality in the S&P 500, Kantrowitz argues that while the stock market is certainly expensive, it may not necessarily be overvalued. He recommends a balanced approach that favors value stocks over growth, cyclical over non-cyclical, and domestic over foreign. Filmed on January 21, 2020 in New York.
Michael Kantrowitz, chief investment strategist at Cornerstone Macro, returns to Real Vision to articulate his stock market outlook for 2020. Noting ultra-low interest rates, narrow credit spreads, and a record-low level of cyclicality in the S&P 500, Kantrowitz argues that while the stock market is certainly expensive, it may not necessarily be overvalued. He recommends a balanced approach that favors value stocks over growth, cyclical over non-cyclical, and domestic over foreign. Filmed on January 21, 2020 in New York.
During the junior mining bear market, investors shunned project generators. Sentiment may now be changing and Mirasol Resources (MRZ) could stand to benefit.
Kevin Muir, editor of the Macro Tourist newsletter, sits down with Real Vision’s Ed Harrison to discuss why he believes interest rates and inflation, long tempered by dovish monetary policy, will rise once again. He sees Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) as a good way to hedge against the U.S. dollar’s inflationary risk and recommends shorting both the Canadian dollar and Canadian banks. He also explains his bullish thesis on energy stocks, which he argues is a bargain at current prices. Filmed on January 13, 2020, in Toronto.
David Rosenberg returns to Real Vision to discuss the interplay between yield and price in an era of record-low interest rates. In conversation with Real Vision’s Ed Harrison, he warns about the decade-long asset inflation in stocks as well as in bonds, which he perceives as a liquidity cycle not backed by fundamentals. He predicts central banks will remain dovish and reveals why he is constructive on gold, commodities, energy stocks, and a number of long-duration treasuries. Filmed on January 13, 2020, in Toronto.
Do higher yields actually lead to higher realized returns in private markets? Dan Rasmussen is the founder of Verdad Advisors — a firm that applies a private equity investing framework to public markets in an effort to replicate private market returns and reduce risk. He joins Real Vision to shed light on the phenomena of “fool’s yield.” Rasmussen argues that investors have been seduced by the promise of boosted returns and ignored the myriad of risks in the opaque investment space rife with deteriorating credit quality, obfuscated default rates, and a major lack of regulation. Filmed on January 16, 2020 in New York.
Paramount Resources (POU) has the largest short position on the TSX. However, INK Research suggests at least three factors are starting to work in the stock's favour.
Dr. William Lazonick, co-founder and president of The Academic-Industry Research Network, sits down with Real Vision's Max Wiethe to dissect the evolution of the stock market and the modern American economic system. Citing Boeing as an example, he contends that the stock market is being used to loot previously innovative corporations as insiders and outsiders alike are incentivized to push stock prices higher. He also argues that American competitiveness is being sapped as companies prioritize stock buybacks over investing in research and development, building new infrastructure, and paying off debt. Lazonick explains how this focus on short-term profits has led to unstable employment, sagging productivity growth and a loss of international competitiveness. Filmed on December 6, 2019 in New York.
Maxim Power (MXG) expects to launch its new natural gas fired power generation plant by June. Insiders are betting that it will brighten the firm's prospects.
