Top traders unveil their specific plans for cashing in on the market's next move. In these short videos, our traders cut straight to the point and lay out their thoughts on the best risk-reward trades of the moment. Each episode concludes with a visual recap of trade details including profit-loss potential and trade duration.
Tony Greer, editor of The Morning Navigator, returns to Real Vision in 2020 with a bold bet on the bond market and reviews where he thinks yields are headed next. In this interview with Justine Underhill, Greer examines the current macro environment, highlights emerging inflationary signals, and discusses how traders should position for a bear-steepener in 2020. He also notes a specific ETF – $IEF – to play the thesis and lays out the trade’s risk/reward parameters. Filmed on January 8, 2019.
Jeff Meyers of Cobia Capital is back to discuss a company he has held since the inception of his fund in 2008 — Silicom Ltd. The stock has been beaten up over the past two years after a major deal with IBM fell through in 2018. Now, investors are hesitant to price in revenues from product roll-outs that have already been announced. Meyers explains why the failure of the IBM deal was the exception, not the rule, and that investors have an opportunity to invest before revenues increase in 2020 and 2021. Filmed on January 2, 2020 in New York.
Michael Gayed, CFA, publisher of the Lead-Lag Report, discusses how traders should position for a potentially reflationary macro environment in 2020. In this interview with Jake Merl, Gayed highlights the importance of a steepening yield curve, drills down on the battle between inflation and deflation, and explains why financials and emerging markets are poised to outperform the S&P 500. Filmed on December 12, 2019.
Komal Sri-Kumar, the man who predicted the epic bond rally in 2019, returns to Real Vision to discuss where the 10-year Treasury is headed next. In this interview with Jake Merl, Sri breaks down the three forces driving yields lower, explains why the recent repo madness could be a canary in the coal mine, and notes what investors should expect from Jay Powell at the December Fed meeting. Filmed on December 10, 2019.
Harvesting Profits: Trading the Five Tropical Softs
Judith Ganes, president of J Ganes Consulting, has over 35 years of experience analyzing the factors affecting the prices of soft commodities: coffee, cocoa, sugar, cotton and orange juice. In this interview with Justine Underhill, Ganes takes viewers from Brazil to Africa to examine the factors that have been driving prices for these five tropical soft commodities — and provide price targets and ranges for each. Filmed on December 3, 2019 in New York.
Treating Osteoarthritis: Playing the Paradigm Shift
Scott Williams, portfolio manager for Fiftyone Capital, sits down to explain why he thinks Paradigm Biopharmaceuticals could be a hundred-bagger. The company's repurposed pre-trial drug has already treated thousands of patients in Australia and is currently being tested on retired NFL players. Williams articulates his investment thesis to Real Vision's Justine Underhill in today's Trade Ideas. Filmed on December 3, 2019 in New York.
Jeff Meyers of Cobia Capital seems to have found an anomaly in the modern stock market, a company that is growing its revenues without sacrificing its profits. In this interview with Max Wiethe, Meyers makes the case for owning Digital Turbine, a fast-growing software company that has carved out their own niche in the smart phone industry. Meyers breaks down the APPS business model, gives his outlook for the future of the company, and addresses the potential risks. Filmed on November 20, 2019 in New York.
Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner at Fairlead Strategies LLC., sits down with Real Vision's Justine Underhill to make sense of the technical signals emanating from the bitcoin market. Stockton sees the next few weeks as a turning point for the cryptocurrency. Either it will continue to plunge well below its 200-day moving average, or it will reach an oversold condition. In the long-run, Stockton is bullish on bitcoin, but over the next month, she expects it to test a lower support level. Filmed in New York on November 25, 2019 in New York.
An Update on Fannie and Freddie: The Road to Recapitalization
Fannie Mae's stock was up almost 300% in 2019, however shares have recently fallen sharply over 40% in the past few months. Gabriella Heffesse, CFA, of ACG Analytics, returns to Real Vision to argue why prices are deviating from fundamentals, and to discuss the current opportunity in the junior preferred stock. In this interview with Justine Underhill, Heffesse reviews the timeline for the road to recapitalization, analyzes the upcoming legal and regulatory hurdles, and highlights how traders should position over the coming months. Filmed on November 19, 2019.
Louise Yamada, CMT, of LY Advisors returns to Real Vision to analyze the technical backdrop for gold and to review the recent breakout in U.S. equities. In this interview with Justine Underhill, Yamada points out similar chart patterns between gold and the Dow, notes the dicey situation for the Dow to Gold ratio, and discusses why the stock market should find a bottom in 2022. Filmed on November 14, 2019.
Max Wolff, co-founder of Multivariate, discusses the valuation disconnect between public and private companies. He examines the recent push-back against growth-at-all-cost strategies for companies like Lyft and Uber. In this interview with Justine Underhill, Wolff notes why Lyft is a better bet than Uber, presents the macro risks to both stocks, and discusses why he recommends traders sit on the sidelines. Filmed on November 8, 2019.
Is it finally time to short the stock market? Teddy Vallee, founder & CIO of Pervalle Global, makes the bear case for equities and argues that the market is in for a rude awakening over the next few months. In this interview with Jake Merl, Vallee walks through his leading indicators for earnings and global growth, highlights the glaring divergence between the stock market and economic indicators such as the ISM, and notes an options trade to take advantage of the unusual situation. Filmed on November 1, 2019.